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Aquarian
Weekly 1/16/08
REALITY CHECK
NEW
HAMPSHIRE: SAME OLD SONG & DANCE
Madam Shoo-In Weeps To Upset/Mac Is Back & Rudy
Exhales
Momentum Halted. Freight Train Derailed. Revolution stalled.
It
took all of five days for the usual screwballs in New Hampshire
to deliver a splash of cold water on the short-lived "change"
mantra. Both Republican, Democratic and Independent primary voters
ignored the surge out of the Iowa Caucuses and harkened back to
bygone days of bore by handing John McCain his second victory
in the "Live Free Or Die" state (Straight Talk campaign disaster
of 2000) and inexplicably revived yet another damaged Clinton
campaign (Big Bill's "Comeback Kid" in '92).
Expected
was Mike Huckabee sinking to a distant third place finish while
Mitt Romney once again outspent his way into also-ran, strangely
making Rudy Giuliani the big GOP winner by keeping his bizarre
wait-it-out until Super Tuesday strategy alive and well. And John
Edwards was once more left to spin fancy on what has now turned
into the world's longest-running political funeral. But nothing
could approach the drama of what the Hillary Machine pulled off
in the first primary of this 2008 presidential race; drama made
possible by an agonizing plethora of bogus polls and lazy journalism.
Not
a single poll had Senator Rodham winning in New Hampshire. None.
Winning? Nearly two dozen across New England had double-digit
leads for Barack Obama by noon of election day. Pundits of every
shape put the dirt on her. There was no truth to the rumor these
were the same pollsters who erroneously prognosticated a rousing
John Kerry victory in the fall of 2004, buttressed by the same
dumb-ass yakkers who gave teeth to the gutless 110th congress,
but there were alleged reports of face-to-face meetings with high-ranking
Clinton officials and major contributors readying to abandon ship
by midnight. Several of them chirping on radio and appearing on
cable television calling for heads to roll and primaries to skip.
Zogby
errors and press gaffs aside, in-house Clinton Camp data concurred.
Additionally, every candidate from both parties came into the
primary's penultimate weekend conceding to Obama's golden fumes,
stumbling all over themselves to blather on about being "agents
of change"; a nauseating display reminiscent of the spectacularly
phony Bush and Gore campaigns grasping at a slice of the populist
goof-off rant on being a "real reformer" eight years ago.
Not
only was the young, dynamic, completely in control Illinois senator
seemingly invincible after his Iowa stomping -- drawing huge crowds
and gushing plaudits from bottom-feeding media whores -- but his
chief adversary, once an icy, calculating Teflon queen, was reduced
to the butt of jokes, mocking headlines of doom, and the recipient
of Fourth Estate taunting the likes of which had not been seen
since Richard Nixon stormed from a California stage in 1962 stammering
about not having him around to kick anymore.
But
a few key elements entered the Democratic race beginning sometime
during an ABC News debate the Saturday before the primary when
a smarmy Charlie Gibson asked the only legitimate woman candidate
in the history of this nation why no one liked her. She responded
tersely that it hurt her feelings. Feelings, it turns out, Ms.
Hillary had not displayed enough for the electorate. That is until
the day before the polls opened when the wife of the one of the
most calculated political minds of the Boomer Generation choked
up when speaking to a gathering at a Portsmouth coffee shop, ending
with a shattered revelation about her candidacy being more "personal
than political".
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The
Clinton Comeback Part II further illustrates why the Democratic
party is still in disarray and why it still has doubts about
sending a powerful candidate into the fray, giving he/she
a sense of speed, coronation, or the most critical of all,
an untouchable aura. Instead it is back to the same old
wounded liberal elephants of the hippie age trying to recapture
a failed counterculture gamble on the wings of vacant political
ogres.
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Not
surprisingly these two events, later trumped up in a puerile feminist
rant by Gloria Steinem in the N.Y. Times and the oafish appearance
of two shock-jocks at a Clinton event shouting sexist nonsense,
were cited by slack-jawed commentators and even a flummoxed Terry
McAuliffe on three different news outlets as the very reason Hillary
Rodham Clinton went from road kill to Madam Shoo-In once more.
The
Return Of The Woman Vote for Ms. Hillary because she wept like
a damsel is as sickeningly condescending a sexist theory as anything
postulated by knuckle-dragging brutes like Bill Bennett or Rush
Limbaugh. "Hillary rallied because she went 'touchy-feely'" may
be the truth, but it is a sad truth made even sadder by the likely
Clintonian exploitation of it.
Of
course this is all tired horse dung bulldozed by lazy politicos
looking for an angle on why the state would throw a monkey wrench
into the only chance the Democrats have to take the White House
in November: A central figure representing a movement away from
the status quo. The Democrats need a symbol, an immovable force,
like the type the Republicans send to the national ticket more
times than not -- a Dwight D. Eisenhower, Ronald Reagan, George
W. Bush or another stylized billboard. This is especially important
when the figure in question also happens to be either a black
man or a woman.
The
Clinton Comeback Part II further illustrates why the Democratic
party is still in disarray and why it still has doubts about sending
a powerful candidate into the fray, giving he/she a sense of speed,
coronation, or the most critical of all, an untouchable aura.
Instead it is back to the same old wounded liberal elephants of
the hippie age trying to recapture a failed counterculture gamble
on the wings of vacant political ogres.
Over
two hours before NBC called the Democratic Primary for Ms. Hillary,
(nearly 45 minutes before any other network, particularly CNN,
still scarred from the now infamous botched "Gore Projections")
John McCain, not far removed from his own oblivion, burped through
a hackneyed speech -- looking once again like the spoiler he's
been for the GOP before. In newsrooms across the fruited plain,
there was a sense that the Republicans were toast. They would
flounder around like soused has-beens in a Eugene O'Neill play
attempting to draw the short straw.
But
none of the entrenched sycophants who ramble inside the insomniatic
whirlwind of this wonderfully paradoxical mayhem could ever see
the writing on the wall. And in New Hampshire on January 8, 2008
only one constant remained: Independents will decide this year's
president.
This
is the lesson of Iowa and New Hampshire thus far; not change or
cult of personality or comebacks or history or clamor for a new
spirit. The Independent vote put Huckabee and Obama in the driver's
seat for five days and yanked them into the trunk on an Indian
summer night in New England. Neither candidate performs strongly
at their party's core. They need Independents. Unfortunately for
the both of them, especially Obama, McCain carried the Independent
day. The strong money here says that the monstrous Obama poll
leads, some of them approaching an outlandish 15 points, may have
convinced many Independents to try and tip the scales for an embattled
McCain, who was in a reported dead-heat (more bogus polls) with
the increasingly abhorrent Romney.
Whatever
the reason, Barack Obama failed miserably in New Hampshire. What
appeared to be a coronation that would hand him huge endorsements
and build his momentum through Nevada and South Carolina, is now
back to square-one with a revitalized political mastermind sitting
on more money than God and a backbone of Democratic voter base.
All Madam Shoo-in needed was one victory to turn this into a knock-down-drag-out.
She has the money. She has the hubris. She has the moral bankruptcy
to turn this thing into a gory street fight and you can bet your
Arkansas/New York dollar it's coming.
It is also a new day for the Grand Old Party, which can now exhale
that they will not have to deal with a holier than thou sympathetic
newcomer on a meteoric rise and instead begin to ratchet up the
national attack dogs on the braying Dragon Lady.
More
good news for Uncle Rudy.
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