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Aquarian
Weekly 5/18/05
REALITY CHECK
GOP
GRIDLOCK - PART II
Social Security, Conservative Judges, Putin, Iran,
North Korea & Political Suicide
My
conversation with Republican insider Georgetown from the last
week of April continues.
jc: Let's just say for the sake of argument you guys can get some
semblance of this Social Security reform onto the floor. What
are the chances that a compromise can be met?
Georgetown:
Before mid-term elections? None. Like I said, there are too many
jobs on the line here. This is the issue, political survival,
and unless it is handled correctly it could swing the power, or
at least senate power back to the democrats. I think it more than
a worthy cause, maybe the most worthy cause, but it's political
suicide within 19 months of an election. Democratic opponents
in certain districts have already started pouncing. There's tension
building and some of these congressmen and senators are not going
to the mat for this, not if their job is on the line, and it is.
jc:
In a nutshell, it's either the battle for judges or Social Security
reform.
GT:
Yes. If the battle is waged and stymied on one front, it could
halt the momentum of the other. The ideological war is currently,
and I think dangerously, winning out over the fiscal one, and
that is where the main rift between conservatives, fiscal conservatives
I'm talking about now, not the bible thumpers, and more moderate
republicans lies. The true business hawks have lain low since
the election, but they are barking now. We want the judges, sure.
We need to fight back on those key social issues, but I believe
if there is a knock-down drag-out it should be over Social Security
and not gay marriage and abortion or other ancillary moral issues.
It defeats the purpose of a congress to be too far-reaching, especially
in this divisive a political climate.
jc:
I think Social Security reform is inevitable. It might not be
the convoluted Bush plan, but it is inevitable. The moral issues
come and go and come again. So, I ask you, what survives this
administration?
GT:
Sadly not the reform.
jc: You think it's dead.
GT:
As a doornail.
jc:
Let's get to this government's credibility on issuing threats
to other nations, Iran, North Korea, whatever, based on intelligence
evidence compiled by the CIA and selling the inherent dangers
to its people based on the track record leading up to the war
in Iraq. Why doesn't anyone see this as a problem?
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"You
are supposed to make the Democrats look like stallers and
backbiters, not make the party in charge look like power
mongers."
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GT:
I'll tell you why, because we're on the righteous course now.
This is not a defense plan; this is a restructure policy internationally.
We have put the onus on nations to cut the shit, not keep us out
of it. This is a change from the Iraq theories of threats by a
nation with WMD after being attacked on our own soil. Iraq was
sold on security and then freedom. We're on the freedom track
now. Ridding the world of tyrants. Tyrants usually insolate themselves
with huge weapons pile-ups. This is now a no-no in the defacto
war on terror. I think it a clever tact.
jc: Change the argument to fit the issue.
GT:
Right on.
jc: But I don't think you grasp my point. We are now making allegations
against Korea and Iran that are eerily similar to those leveled
against Hussein. Now, in the case of Hussein they turned out cooked,
but these are dead serious. But with the first having been the
big thing on the back of nothing…
GT:
It compromises our position internationally? No it doesn't. We've
already stated in several places on a myriad of occasions that
this is a global war on terror. It is on going. It evolves, and
it evolves on our dime and our time. We just move on over to the
next bad guy when we see fit. This is the whole thing. It has
to move, like a shark. It's shark foreign tactics. Hit and run,
pick the target and stay on it. The best part about this is one
of these rogue nations are going to get to the bottom of the Osama
bin Laden MIA shit. You just know someone from Iran is going to
execute this idiot, so they can claim great friend of the United
States and then point the finger if we try and keep them from
building a massive war machine. I'm telling you, that's coming.
jc: What do you make of Vladimir Putin? Is it the same old crap,
or is this guy a maverick? And what's Bush's fascination with
him? If there actually is one. And what's with this proposed meeting
in Russia?
GT:
Putin is an imperialist. He will fight for his slice of the Middle
East pie. He's already started. This bullshit with Ariel Sharon,
wherein he's whipping up plans for peace and restructuring settlements
in Israel is laughable. He couldn't give two shits about Israel.
It's a grandstand to get involved in what he sees as a serious
doctrine to change the political landscape there. Listen, I've
always said that you can tell how your foreign policy is going
when everyone tries to rip it off for their own gain. Putin is
the proof that Bush's plan, however ass-backwards and inept it
can look sometimes, is sound.
jc:
But doesn't Putin have a right to be involved? Even though I share
much of your cynicism about his sincerity. I mean, this is happening
in his backyard.
GT:
Sure, he can do anything he wants. Doesn't mean it's not a transparent
power grab. I think our president might say as much when he goes
to Russia.
jc:
And this accomplishes the "Let me play chess with the Arabs, find
your own war zone to gut" doctrine?
GT: Funny. Take it on the road.
jc: One last thing about the world stage. Do you think the Brit
election will mean a hill of beans to the final three years of
this administration or the final months of this congress?
GT:
Nope. Small potatoes.
jc:
Big ally.
GT: It's a bit noisy for me.
jc:
How many judges do you get through?
GT:
One. I think one. Maybe two. A big maybe. It's a fair fight. No
one with a background in these things is complaining. But someone
with a conservative record is getting through. Count on it.
Reality
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